Also see the article "The Pundits Predict"

Ranking Chart

The Power Ranking sites--Collier-Sharp, Jerry's Texas High School Football Ratings and Data Poll--use a system of Ranking the teams and assigning them a "Power Rating." The numbers they generate depend on the scores of the game throughout the season, past performance, and mystical factors. These numbers are generated following each game, and I thought it would be interesting to track them for each of the teams the Falcons are going to play this year. (You can read about the process used by Data Poll on their website--if the information provides you with total enlightenment, please let me know.  Note: the Data Poll managers put up a new explanation over the weekend of August 18, and it is actually possible to follow the logic of their method now.)

In the table below, the District Standing (DS) and Power Ranking (PR) are given first for Data Poll and then for Collier-Sharp (there wasn't room in the table to name Data Poll, but their number follows the team name). The Power Ranking (PR) is considerably different for the two services as they use different formulae. However, the relative ranking is what needs to be looked at. The District Standings represents where the Power Ranking places the team in relationship to all 226 of the District 5A Teams.

Data Poll also provides a Point Spread figure. That number is shown in the Score/PS column. The point spread predicted should change as the season progresses, and it will be updated as we move through the season.

I don't know how accurate any of this stuff is, but it does demonstrate that if you take into account last years play and other bits of data that can be gathered, the Falcons don't have a pushover, wimpy schedule. They  have a demonstrably  tough schedule. That's good. It will test the mettle of the team, and each game will be an opportunity to try out the stuff that's been learned in the last tough game.

Now, if the Collier-Sharp and Data Poll teams keep up with their data, we'll be able to watch the Falcons move up on the list as the season progresses. Or else we will discover that these power rankings are just a dream and a way for a mathematician to move into the prognosticating business.

In the Chart Below the DataPoll predicted point spread is given in Red in the second column. DataPoll computes these scores each week starting with Zero Week. The predicted point spread changes as the teams win or lose games. Here we have lined up the point spreads with a vertical bar between them:  -3|-1|2|5|. The array at the left would indicate that in Week 1 the team listed was predicted to beat by 3 points, in week one by one point, in week two they were predicted to lose to Lake by two points, and in Week Three they were predicted to lose by five. Collier-Sharp only publishes there point spread the week of the game, so there is only one value shown. Once a game is played, the final score is placed in the second column.

Ranking Chart

Opponent	Score/PS	Zero		One		Two		Three		Four		Five*		Six		Seven		Eight		Nine		Ten
	Lake v	DS	PR	DS	PR	DS	PR	DS	PR	DS	PR	DS	PR	DS	PR	DS	PR	DS	PR	DS	PR	DS	PR
CLEAR LAKE		122	80	116	81	116	81	125	79	125	82	111	78	103	79	99	78	99	78	82	112	78	113
Collier Sharp		150	133	138	137	131	139	141	136	120	140	116	141	117	141	119	141	127	140	119	142	120	141
SOUTH HOUSTON	scrimmage	201	66	208	65	203	66	203	66	195	70	182	67
Collier Sharp		214	111	214	110	215	110	215	110	207	115	206	115	209	115	208	116	201	117	203	117	199	119
KATY TAYLOR	-3.5 14 to 13 -3	103	83	113	81	106	82	107	81	107	83	108	78	111	78	109	77	110	77	99	111	96	111
Collier Sharp		140	136	151	132	150	133	156	133	139	137	142	136	152	135	138	137	149	135	158	132	158	132
CY. FALLS	-9|-5 20 to 26 -16	70	88	69	86	71	86	88	84	73	87	73	83	54	84	44	85	48	84	42	116	46	115
Collier Sharp		72	153	70	153	76	152	102	145	91	148	96	145	82	150	61	155	87	149	95	145	125	140
BAYTOWN LEE	-13|-6|-3.5 14 to 41 -10	50	90	71	86	88	83	71	86	94	85	87	82	82	83	77	82	95	79	92	112	86	113
Collier Sharp		62	152	93	149	90	149	74	151	103	144	94	146	97	145	97	145	124	140	109	143	81	149
JERSEY VILLAGE	-5.5|-2.5|-2| -5.5 10 to 6 -4	88	84	90	84	95	83	93	84	141	80	148	74	132	76	134	76	112	78	80	114	71	114
Collier Sharp		115	142	116	142	124	140	126	140	143	146	150	134	142	136	146	135	130	139	101	144	113	143
BAY. STERLING	+7.5|6.5|9|+8|10 29 to 6 21	159	74	164	73	163	74	165	74	172	75	167	70	165	70	155	71	166	70	159	105	163	104
Collier Sharp		196	119	193	`120	193	120	199	119	201	119	201	118	206	115	208	115	209	115	210	144	211	115
ALVIN	+1|+1.5|-.5|-2.5| -3.5|-8|-9 20-26 -6	127	79	123	79	111	82	111	81	92	84	64	83	56	84	55	82	58	82	54	114	63	114
Collier Sharp		141	118	111	143	97	148	104	144	100	144	100	144	90	147	92	147	119	141	125	140	126	140
BRAZOSWOOD	+4.5|4|5.5|3| 5.5|12|8|8.5 24-21  7	147	76	148	76	152	76	147	77	160	77	183	69	167	73	159	73	147	75	101	111	85	112
Collier Sharp		152	132	152	132	157	132	144	136	150	134	158	133	154	134	157	134	152	135	122	141	123	141
CLEAR CREEK	-14|-11|-11| -16|-30|-29|-31|-33 14-24  -21	42	90	27	91	41	90	36	90	11	98	13	94	7	96	7	96	5	95	9	123	10	122
Collier Sharp		47	158	41	159	41	159	35	161	27	165	31	163	34	163	34	163	35	161	40	159	46	158
CLEAR BROOK	+5.5|5|8|5.5|10.5|9.5 |10.5|11.5|12 17-0 20	154	76	156	75	162	74	160	74	181	74	161	70	169	70	160	71	158	71	156	106	156	106
Collier Sharp		206	116	205	116	209	115	203	116	208	115	204	116	203	117	193	120	193	121	189	122	191	123
BALL	-12|-7|-9.5|-14|-15| -13|-12|-9.5|-7|-7.5 28-34 -6	56	89	53	88	46	89	41	90	27	92	39	87	37	87	41	85	30	86	41	116	39	117
Collier Sharp		87	150	87	150	77	152	72	152	70	151	88	149	86	149	94	146	72	152	93	146	88	147
* Lake has Week 5 off. The dark gray boxes show the ranking and the Power Rating of the teams computed the week of the game between the two teams.

Comment or Additional Information
Can Be Obtained from:
clearlakefootball@clearlakefootball.com
Clear Lake Falcon Quarterback Club
P.O. Box 591590
Houston, Tx  77062